Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Madame L On Gun Control

Dear and Gentle Readers,

Some (all?) of you may have suspected that Madame L is a typical wishy-washy liberal who thinks gun control is good.

And you're right, at least about the gun control. 

Madame L, who is by the way a past member of the National Rifle Association (NRA), believes that the buying of guns should be heavily regulated and controlled. In this, she apparently differs from most past and present members of the NRA, the organization which has contributed to the proliferation of guns in our country, which is highly correlated with violence, homicide, and suicide.

Madame L does not believe that any citizen has the need or the right to buy a 100-round assault rifle; and that we should go back to their being banned. (Madame L knows the Aurora shooter got all his guns and ammunition legally. So what.)

Please watch this short segment from yesterday's (Monday, July 23) Rachel Maddow show, when Ezra Klein, subbing for Rachel, rationally and calmly dissected the issue.

As Mr. Klein said on the air and in the blog post below, "The aftermath of the Aurora, Colorado shootings has been thick with calls to avoid 'politicizing' the tragedy. That is code, essentially, for 'don’t talk about reforming our gun control laws.'

"Let’s be clear: This is a form of politicization. When political actors construct a political argument that threatens political consequences if other political actors pursue a certain political outcome, that is, almost by definition, a politicization of the issue. It’s just a form of politicization favoring those who prefer the status quo to stricter gun control laws."

Here's the gist of the piece, including the great graphics, from his Washington Post blog:

1. America is an unusually violent country. But we’re not as violent as we used to be.
Kieran Healy, a sociologist at Duke University, made this graph of “deaths due to assault” in the United States and other developed countries. We are a clear outlier.

America is far more violent than other developed nations, but the violence is declining.
As Healy writes, “The most striking features of the data are (1) how much more violent the U.S. is than other OECD countries (except possibly Estonia and Mexico, not shown here), and (2) the degree of change—and recently, decline—there has been in the U.S. time series considered by itself.”

2. The South is the most violent region in the United States.
In a subsequent post, Healy drilled further into the numbers and looked at deaths due to assault in different regions of the country. Just as the United States is a clear outlier in the international context, the South is a clear outlier in the national context:

3. Gun ownership in the United States is declining overall.
“For all the attention given to America’s culture of guns, ownership of firearms is at or near all-time lows,” writes political scientist Patrick Egan. The decline is most evident on the General Social Survey, though it also shows up on polling from Gallup, as you can see on this graph:
The bottom line, Egan writes, is that “long-term trends suggest that we are in fact currently experiencing a waning culture of guns and violence in the United States. ”

4. More guns tend to mean more homicide.
The Harvard Injury Control Research Center assessed the literature on guns and homicide and found that there’s substantial evidence that indicates more guns means more murders. This holds true whether you’re looking at different countries or different state., Citations here.

5. States with stricter gun control laws have fewer deaths from gun-related violence.
Last year, economist Richard Florida dove deep into the correlations between gun deaths and other kinds of social indicators. Some of what he found was, perhaps, unexpected: Higher populations, more stress, more immigrants, and more mental illness were not correlated with more deaths from gun violence. But one thing he found was, perhaps, perfectly predictable: States with tighter gun control laws appear to have fewer gun-related deaths. The disclaimer here is that correlation is not causation. But correlations can be suggestive:
“The map overlays the map of firearm deaths above with gun control restrictions by state,” explains Florida. “It highlights states which have one of three gun control restrictions in place – assault weapons’ bans, trigger locks, or safe storage requirements. Firearm deaths are significantly lower in states with stricter gun control legislation. Though the sample sizes are small, we find substantial negative correlations between firearm deaths and states that ban assault weapons (-.45), require trigger locks (-.42), and mandate safe storage requirements for guns (-.48).”

6. Gun control is not politically popular.
Since 1990, Gallup has been asking Americans whether they think gun control laws should be stricter. The answer, increasingly, is that they don’t. “The percentage in favor of making the laws governing the sale of firearms ‘more strict’ fell from 78% in 1990 to 62% in 1995, and 51% in 2007,” reports Gallup. “In the most recent reading, Gallup in 2010 found 44% in favor of stricter laws. In fact, in 2009 and again last year, the slight majority said gun laws should either remain the same or be made less strict.”

1 comment:

AskTheGeologist said...

Well, at least ONE of Madame Elle's readers knows that in a 3-day weapons safety course, Madame Elle was the best and most precise shot with a rifled-slug, 12-gauge shotgun. Dunno about YOU, but I think there is a negative (-.45) correlation between Madame Elle and "Wishy Washy."

Did I mention also that Madame Elle holds a 2nd degree blackbelt in Taiho-Jutsu? There is a negative (-.63) correlation between "blackbelt" and "Wishy Washy."

But there IS a strong POSITIVE (+.96) correlation between Madame Elle and "Eats Nail Sandwiches." Just TRY to attack one of her kids or her husband, and stand back if you have the courage to watch. She can be very precise. Like, rip signs that say "Pain Management is our Motto" out of a hospital wall to confront at least one nurse three weeks ago.